Based on positive experience of a pilot scenario-building exercise on future mixed migration, led by the Mixed Migration Centre / MMC in October 2019 in Abidjan, we are pleased to announce the launch of a comprehensive “Mixed Migration Scenario-Building Programme 2021” for Rabat Process partners, looking into future mixed migration in 2030 in West and North Africa.


Led again by the MMC as part of its partnership with the Rabat Process, and validated by the Chair and Dialogue partners, this new programme will comprise four separate scenario-building exercises. To bring these exercises “to life” and make them relevant, they will be linked to themes of strategic interest to Rabat Process partners including the role of technology within migration dynamics, migration drivers and environmental change.


Migration processes and migrant decision-making are based on a variety of uncertain factors and unexpected triggers, related for instance, to conflict or crisis: these are by definition difficult to capture and unpredictable. The methodology developed by MMC takes this into account and proposes to examine data on relatively certain mixed migration drivers and relatively uncertain drivers.

The aim of these workshops is to provide Rabat Process partners with the tools to think critically about the future so that they can better anticipate change and engage in more effective and sustainable planning on mixed migration.


This programme is open to all Rabat Process partners working on migration policy development and with an interest in West and North Africa. The scenario building exercises work best with a maximum of 25 people, so partners will be chosen on a first come first served basis. Ideally, we request that the same partners commit to all 4 sessions. However, each exercise works as a “standalone” activity so you are welcome to attend just one. French/English interpretation will be provided throughout. Please sign up here.


16th June 2021, 14h00-16h30 (Brussels time)
Understanding the Rate of Change in Mixed Migration: The role of technology within migration dynamics (virtual event via zoom)

This exercise will examine how the evolution of transportation technologies, mobile telephony, biometric border, technologies, smartphones, and social media work to structure and facilitate migration.

Interested in joining us?

Sign up here

29th September 2021, 14h00-16h30 (Brussels time)
Identification of the future mixed migration certainties and uncertainties in North Africa and West Africa: The drivers of mixed migration (via zoom)

Interested in joining us?

Sign up here

27th October 2021, 14h00-16h30 (Brussels time)
Identification of blind spots and weak signals and examining their implications for policy responses: Environmental change (via zoom)

Interested in joining us?

Sign up here

17th December 2021, Portugal (TBC)
Developing future mixed migration scenarios in North Africa and West Africa (Portugal TBC)

For more information on this final session – watch this space!

Any questions? Please contact the Secretariat using the email address in the footer of this website.

Want to find out more about the Mixed Migration Centre? Meet the team here.